2013 Blue Jays: overall

28 02 2013

Most of the projection systems that are attempting to estimate where the Blue Jays will finish this year are making the quite reasonable assumption that some players won’t play as well this year as they did in the past. The general consensus is that Toronto will be a close contest for one of the wild card spots this year, and I’m okay with that.

But, just for fun, let’s assume that everybody on the Jays plays as well this year as they have in the recent past. What kind of numbers would they put up? Let’s walk through the list (the year in which the player had the good year is in parentheses):

  • 1B, Adam Lind: .305 AVG, 35 HR, 114 RBI (2009) – this seems the least likely of the lot, but hey, he did it
  • 2B, Emilio Bonifacio: .296 AVG, .360 OBP, 40 SB (2011)
  • SS, Jose Reyes: .337 AVG, .384 OBP, 39 SB (2011 – won batting title)
  • 3B, Brett Lawrie: .293 AVG, .373 OBP, 9 HR in 43 games, which prorates to over 30 in a full season (2011)
  • LF, Melky Cabrera: .346 AVG, .390 OBP, 46 extra-base hits (2012 before suspension)
  • CF, Colby Rasmus: .276 AVG, .361 OBP, 23 HR (2010)
  • RF, Jose Bautista: .302 AVG, .447 OBP, 43 HR (2011)
  • C, J. P. Arencibia: .219 AVG, 23 HR (2011)
  • DH, Edwin Encarnacion: .280 AVG, .384 OBP, 42 HR (2012)
  • SP1, R. A. Dickey: 2.73 ERA, 230 K (2012, won Cy Young Award)
  • SP2, Brandon Morrow: 2.96 ERA (2012)
  • SP3, Mark Buerhle, 3.59 ERA, 205 IP (2011)
  • SP4, Josh Johnson, 2,30 ERA in 28 starts (2010 – led league)
  • SP5, Ricky Romero, 2.92 ERA, 225 IP (2011)
  • RP1, Casey Janssen, 2.54 ERA, 22 saves (2012)
  • RP2, Sergio Santos, 30 saves, 92 K in 63.1 innings (2011)
  • RP3, Darren Oliver, 2.06 ERA (2012)
  • RP4, Steve Delabar, 3,38 ERA in Toronto with 46 K in 29.1 innings (2012)

Of course, many of these players won’t put up numbers anywhere near this good. But the outlook for this year is much better than for any Jays team since 1993. If the 2012 Jays had put everything together, they might have had an outside chance of a wild card berth. If the 2013 Jays put everything together, they could utterly dominate the league.

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